Typical analysis of Presidential nominating contests focus on the early Caucus states of Iowa and Nevada and primary states of New Hampshire and South Carolina. But rarely have few candidates succeeded in all of the the states or even three out of four and gone onto being a party’s nominee.
This is particularly true on the GOP side in recent years. In 2008 Mike Huckabee won the Iowa Caucuses and Mitt Romney the Nevada Caucuses but John McCain, winning New Hampshire and South Carolina, was the nominee. In 2012, Rick Santorum won Iowa, Romney won New Hampshire and Gingrich won South Carolina yet Romney was the eventual nominee. So how did Romney and McCain, who struggled to consolidate support in 2008 and 2012, win the GOP nomination with the blessing of the establishment.
The answer is simple. Blue state Republicans. These voters, in both the Northeast and Pacific Coast hold…
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